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P ProScore Trust. Built.

Independent Research Report  ·  Inaugural Edition

Your contractor has 4.5 stars. Three times out of four, that rating is lying to you.

An independent scoring of all 16,412 Ontario contractors finds 74.7% of top-rated businesses fail a basic trust test.

of Ontario contractors rated 4.5 stars or higher on Google score below the Trusted threshold. Nearly a quarter earned that rating on fewer than five reviews.

The ProScore Ontario Contractor Trust Index 2026 · The first independent, whole-population ranking of contractor trustworthiness across Ontario — 16,412 contractors, 11 trades, 878 municipalities, 64 ranked cities. Published by ProScore, an independent trust-scoring platform. Data as of August 5, 2026.

The headline

Online reviews won't protect you from a bad contractor

In an independent scan of every active home-service contractor in Ontario, ProScore found that 74.7% of those rated 4.5 stars or higher on Google fail a basic trust test. Nearly a quarter earned that rating on fewer than five reviews.

The geography is counterintuitive. Toronto ranks 44th of 64 Ontario cities for contractor trust — below almost every suburb that surrounds it. Burlington, Hamilton and Whitby all rank higher than the city they surround. And the trades homeowners spend the most on — kitchen and bathroom remodeling — are the least trustworthy of all, with virtually no contractors clearing the bar despite carrying healthy four-star averages.

This is the inaugural ProScore Ontario Contractor Trust Index — an independent, whole-population measurement of how trustworthy the province's contractors actually are, and where the gaps run deepest. ProScore is not a directory, sells no leads, and takes no payment for placement or score.

Key statistics

Each stat stands alone and is lift-ready. Attribution: ProScore (proscore.ca), independent trust-scoring platform — not a directory. Figures as of August 5, 2026.

16,412

active Ontario home-service contractors scored — every one in the province, across 11 trades and 878 municipalities. Not a survey. Not a directory sample.

Only 18%

(2,961) clear the "Trusted" bar. 65% (10,695) sit in a murky middle; 17% (2,756) score low.

74.7%

of contractors rated 4.5 stars or higher still fail the trust threshold (8,357 businesses).

nearly 1 in 4

highly rated contractors (22.6%, or 2,532) earned that 4.5-plus average on fewer than five reviews.

36%

of all contractors (5,909) have fewer than five Google reviews; 16% (2,683) have none at all.

4.21 stars / 54

Provincial average: 4.21 Google stars. Median trust score: 54 out of 100. That gap is the story.

44th of 64

Toronto's rank among ranked cities — below its own suburbs. Most trustworthy: Burlington. Least: Innisfil.

0.3% / 0.0%

Kitchen and bathroom remodeling — the priciest home projects — are the least trustworthy trades: 0.3% and 0.0% clear the bar.

All figures reflect ProScore's scored dataset as of August 5, 2026, and may be cited freely with attribution to ProScore (proscore.ca).

Why this Index exists, and why it is different

A measurement of the market, not a product sold to it

Ontarians spend billions of dollars a year hiring contractors on the strength of a Google star rating and a gut feeling. Yet the only province-scale data on contractor trust to date has come from two sources with built-in limits: consumer opinion surveys (which measure how homeowners feel, not how contractors actually perform) and directory platforms (whose ratings are drawn from their own user reviews and whose commercial model depends on the contractors they rate).

ProScore is neither. We are an independent trust-scoring platform. We are not a directory, we do not sell leads, and we do not accept payment for placement or for a higher score. Every active home-service contractor in Ontario is scored on the same public, verifiable criteria — whether or not that contractor has ever engaged with us. That independence is the entire point of this Index.

This is also designed as a recurring benchmark. The "2026" in the title is deliberate: we intend to publish this Index annually so the province has a consistent, year-over-year measure of whether contractor trust is improving or getting worse.

See the Methodology Notes & FAQ below, where we pressure-test every headline against the hardest questions a skeptic — or a competitor — could reasonably ask.

Finding 1

Trust is the exception, not the rule

Only 18% of Ontario's 16,412 contractors clear the Trusted bar. The province-wide 4.2-star average hides it: scores cluster in the middle and thin sharply at the top.

Trust-band distribution — all 16,412 scored contractors. Source: ProScore, data as of August 5, 2026.
Trust bandScore rangeContractorsShare
Trusted65–1002,96118.0%
Middle40–6410,69565.2%
Low0–392,75616.8%
Trust-score distribution across 16,412 Ontario contractors Horizontal bar chart. The Middle band (40 to 64) dominates at 65.2 percent, while the Trusted band (65 plus) holds only 18.0 percent and the Low band (below 40) holds 16.8 percent. Most contractors sit in a wide middle 0% 20% 40% 60% Trusted (65+) 18.0% 2,961 Middle (40–64) 65.2% · 10,695 Low (0–39) 16.8% 2,756
Average score 51.9; median 54. Fewer than 1,240 contractors province-wide score 70 or above; just 84 score 80 or above.

Pick a contractor at random and the odds of landing a genuinely trusted one are just 1 in 6 — the same odds as landing a demonstrably low-trust one. Five times out of six, a star rating won't tell you which.

Finding 2 · The national headline

Why stars fail you

73.4% of rated Ontario contractors — 11,191 of 15,240 — carry 4.5 stars or higher. It looks like a market of near-uniform excellence. It isn't.

74.7% of those 4.5-star businesses — 8,357 of them — score below the Trusted threshold. A near-perfect rating and a genuinely trustworthy operation are, three times out of four, not the same thing.

22.6% of 4.5-star-plus contractors (2,532 businesses) have fewer than five reviews — a glowing average resting on a handful of ratings.

The mechanism is simple and it is exactly what consumer regulators have been warning about. A star average compresses every business toward the top: a few happy customers reach 4.5, ratings rarely update as a business changes hands or declines, and the number says nothing about review authenticity, licensing, insurance, longevity, or complaint history. The 4.21-star provincial average against a 54 median trust score is that compression, quantified. It is also why "just check their reviews" is failing the homeowners who follow it.

"The province averages 4.21 stars but a median trust score of just 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole story: the star rating is doing far less work than homeowners think."

Finding 3

The city rankings

ProScore ranked the 64 Ontario cities with at least 50 scored contractors (a threshold chosen so every ranking rests on a fair sample; together these cities account for the large majority of the province's contractors). The spread is real, and the geography is counterintuitive.

Most trustworthy Ontario cities — top 10 by average trust score.
#CitynAvg trust% Trusted
1Burlington23157.827.7%
2Milton8057.122.5%
3East York8457.033.3%
4Hamilton31856.625.2%
5Woodbridge7556.524.0%
6Pickering9356.422.6%
7Whitby12056.026.7%
8Vaughan11555.721.7%
8Windsor24555.724.1%
10London47055.522.8%
Least trustworthy of the 64 ranked — bottom 10 by average trust score.
#CitynAvg trust% Trusted
64Innisfil5541.75.5%
63Cornwall7642.514.5%
62Brockville7443.68.1%
61Collingwood9344.716.1%
60Barrie34545.012.8%
59Thunder Bay19645.97.1%
58Pembroke6546.76.2%
57St. Catharines22547.79.8%
55Midland5147.911.8%
55Belleville10047.912.0%
Top-10 versus bottom-10 ranked cities by average trust score Two grouped horizontal bar charts on a shared scale from 40 to 60. The top-10 group clusters around 55 to 58; the bottom-10 group clusters around 42 to 48. Toronto is marked at 49.9 for reference. Average trust score: best and worst ranked cities 40 45 50 55 60 TOP 10 Burlington Milton East York Hamilton Woodbridge Pickering Whitby Vaughan Windsor London 57.8 57.1 57.0 56.6 56.5 56.4 56.0 55.7 55.7 55.5 BOTTOM 10 Innisfil Cornwall Brockville Collingwood Barrie Thunder Bay Pembroke St. Catharines 41.7 42.5 43.6 44.7 45.0 45.9 46.7 47.7 Toronto 49.9 (44th)
Shared scale, 40–60. The dashed marker shows Toronto (49.9, ranked 44th) sitting between the two groups. The bottom-10 chart shows 8 of the 10 lowest for legibility; full data in the table above and the 64-city appendix.

The big-city surprise

Ontario's biggest markets trail their smaller neighbours. Toronto ranks 44th of 64 (avg trust 49.9) — below every suburb that rings it: Burlington (1st), Hamilton (4th), Whitby (7th) and Vaughan (8th). Ottawa ranks 31st (51.3) and Mississauga 27th (52.4). The measured picture directly echoes — and updates with hard data — the widely-reported 2018 finding that Toronto was the toughest Canadian market to find a trustworthy contractor.

The review desert is worst outside the cities

In Innisfil, 65.5% of contractors have fewer than five reviews — versus roughly 19–20% in well-covered markets like Burlington and Oakville. Cornwall (59.2%), Collingwood (57.0%) and Thunder Bay (56.6%) follow close behind.

A boundary caveat travels with this finding: "Toronto," "North York," "Scarborough," "Etobicoke," "East York" and "York" are districts of one amalgamated municipality, as are the Ottawa districts. See Q6 in the Methodology Notes & FAQ. The full 64-city ranking appears in the appendix.

Finding 4

The trade rankings

Trust varies even more by trade than by city. The licensed trades fare best; the big-ticket remodeling trades are a near-total trust desert.

Trade ranking by average trust score — all 11 categories. Source: ProScore, data as of August 5, 2026.
TradeContractorsAvg trust% Trusted% with <5 reviewsAvg rating
Drywall31158.851.1%50.2%4.08
Plumbing2,00457.738.4%26.4%4.30
HVAC1,35056.626.9%17.8%4.58
Electrical2,00856.536.2%40.2%4.19
Landscaping2,05651.920.1%48.8%3.82
Pest control74951.711.1%36.7%4.32
Roofing1,46050.912.3%33.7%4.18
General contracting2,37150.57.9%42.4%4.22
Tree service1,33350.55.6%37.1%4.19
Kitchen remodeling2,17744.40.3%30.5%4.32
Bathroom remodeling59342.80.0%40.5%4.04
Share of contractors clearing the Trusted bar, by trade Horizontal bar chart ranking 11 trades by percent Trusted, from drywall at 51.1 percent down to bathroom remodeling at 0.0 percent. HVAC carries the highest average rating (4.58) yet only 26.9 percent Trusted; the remodeling trades collapse to near zero. Percent of contractors clearing the "Trusted" bar 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Drywall Plumbing Electrical HVAC Landscaping Roofing Pest control General contracting Tree service Kitchen remodeling Bathroom remodeling 51.1% 38.4% 36.2% 26.9% 20.1% 12.3% 11.1% 7.9% 5.6% 0.3% 0.0%
HVAC carries the highest average rating in the province (4.58) yet places only 26.9% in the Trusted tier. Landscaping has the lowest average rating (3.82). The remodeling trades collapse to near zero despite 4.0–4.3 star averages.

"Zero. That's how many bathroom remodelers clear the Trusted bar (0.0%); kitchens manage 0.3%. On the priciest jobs a homeowner ever commissions — carrying healthy 4.0–4.3 star averages — verifiable trust is all but absent."

General contracting — the largest category, and the one hired for most major work — lands just 7.9% of its 2,371 businesses in the Trusted tier. This is Finding 2 at its most extreme: high stars, near-zero verifiable trust, on exactly the jobs where a mistake is most costly.

For citation

Ready-to-quote

"Three-quarters of Ontario's top-rated contractors — 74.7% of everyone at 4.5 stars or higher — fail a basic trust test. A glowing star average and a trustworthy business are, three times out of four, not the same thing."
"Toronto ranks 44th of 64 Ontario cities for contractor trust, below almost every suburb that surrounds it. Burlington, Hamilton, Whitby and Vaughan all outscore the city they ring."
"The province averages 4.21 stars but a median trust score of just 54 out of 100. That gap is the whole story: the star rating is doing far less work than homeowners think."
"On kitchen and bathroom remodels — among the most expensive projects a homeowner ever commissions — virtually no contractors clear our trust bar: 0.3% and 0.0%. These are the jobs where a mistake costs the most and where stars tell you the least."
"We are not a directory, we do not sell leads, and we do not accept payment for placement or for a higher score. We scored every contractor in Ontario on the same public criteria — whether or not they've ever heard of us. This is a measurement of the market, not a product sold to it."

Methodology

How the Index is built

Dataset. 16,412 active home-service contractors operating in Ontario, spanning 11 trade categories and 878 municipalities, each scored on a 0–100 trust scale.

What the score combines. The ProScore trust score is built from public, verifiable signals: the volume and consistency of customer reviews, business verification and operating status, and available business-history signals. It is deliberately weighted so that review volume and consistency matter — which is why a 4.5-star business with three reviews does not score like a 4.5-star business with three hundred.

Ranking thresholds. City rankings include only the 64 municipalities with at least 50 scored contractors, so no ranking rests on a small or unrepresentative sample. Trade rankings cover all 11 categories, each of which has a sample of several hundred to several thousand.

Data vintage. All scores and figures reflect ProScore's database as of August 5, 2026; review counts and ratings are drawn from public Google data captured on or before that date.

What we deliberately did not claim. We publish a figure only where the underlying field is populated densely enough to be honest. Accordingly, we do not report province-wide licensing or insurance rates — those fields are too sparsely populated in our current dataset to support an honest percentage, so we excluded them entirely rather than present a misleading denominator. Every percentage in this report is calculated against a stated, complete denominator. Trust scores are a model-based estimate of accountability, not a guarantee of any individual contractor's performance; they are a tool for comparison, not a verdict. We would rather publish a smaller set of findings we can fully stand behind.

Methodology Notes & FAQ

Pressure-testing every figure

An addendum to the ProScore Ontario Contractor Trust Index 2026. We wrote this section by asking the hardest questions a skeptic — or a competitor — could reasonably ask, and answering each one straight. Where a criticism is partly or wholly fair, we say so and tell you what to do with the number.

Q1. What exactly is in the trust score, and how is it weighted? Right now it's a black box.

The criticism, fairly stated: The report leans on a single 0–100 "trust score," but never publishes the formula, the input weights, or why the "Trusted" line sits at 65 rather than 60 or 70. Every headline — "18% are Trusted," "0% of bathroom remodelers clear the bar" — is a direct function of choices readers can't see. An unexplained composite that produces dramatic numbers deserves skepticism until the machinery is open.

Our answer: This is a legitimate gap and we are closing it. For this edition the score combines three families of signal — (1) review volume and consistency, (2) business verification and active operating status, and (3) available business-history signals — with review volume and consistency deliberately weighted most heavily. We have not yet published the exact coefficients or the 65 threshold's derivation. That is a shortcoming of a v1 benchmark, not a defensible choice. Disclosure we are adding: a public methodology appendix with the component weights, the score distribution, and a sensitivity table showing how the "% Trusted" figure moves as the threshold slides from 55 to 75. Until that appendix is out, treat the 65 cutoff as one reasonable line on a continuum, not a bright natural boundary — and read the distribution (most contractors cluster in a wide middle) as the durable finding, rather than any single side of the cutoff.

Q2. "Trust score" mostly measures review volume. So isn't the whole report circular?

The criticism, fairly stated: Review volume is the heaviest input. That makes several headline findings partly definitional. "36% are effectively invisible" and "the review desert" aren't discoveries about trustworthiness — they're restatements of the input. And "stars lie" compares a Google rating against a score that itself ingests Google reviews, so the two are correlated by construction.

Our answer: This is the sharpest fair hit in the report, and we want to be precise about where it lands and where it doesn't.

Where it lands: the "invisible contractor" finding is, by design, a coverage statement. A contractor with two reviews is not necessarily bad — they are unmeasurable, and our score reflects low confidence, not proven low quality. We should not, and going forward will not, let the word "trust" blur that. Disclosure we are adding: we will relabel the low-volume cohort as "low-transparency / low-evidence" rather than implying poor performance, and state plainly that absence of a track record is a reason to verify independently, not proof of a bad contractor — the same standard we hold Google's stars to.

Where it doesn't land: the score is not only volume. Two contractors with identical review counts can score differently on consistency, verification, and operating history. And the star-vs-score comparison isn't pure circularity: the score down-weights a high average that rests on a thin or erratic sample, which is exactly the information a raw star average discards.

The honest one-line version: our score measures how much verifiable evidence of accountability exists, weighted toward review track record. It is a strong proxy for trust, not a measurement of workmanship, and it is partly correlated with the very stars it critiques.

Q3. You claim to score "every active contractor," but you only see businesses with a Google presence. Isn't that a coverage bias?

The criticism, fairly stated: The dataset is the population of Google-listable businesses, not the population of contractors. Excellent operators who run on word-of-mouth, referrals, or trade-association channels and never cultivate a Google profile are either absent or land in the "invisible/low-trust" bucket. So the report may be measuring digital-marketing behavior as much as trustworthiness.

Our answer: Correct, and we should not have used "every active contractor in Ontario" without this qualifier. Our frame is every active, publicly-listable Ontario home-service business we could identify from public sources, which skews toward businesses that maintain an online presence. A genuinely great referral-only contractor can score low here purely for lack of a public footprint. Disclosure we are adding: an explicit coverage statement in the methodology, and a reframe of low-evidence scores as "we cannot verify," not "we verified them as untrustworthy." This also sharpens the homeowner takeaway: if you can't find a public record for someone, that's a prompt to ask for references, licensing, and proof of insurance directly.

Q4. Why only Google reviews? Ignoring HomeStars, BBB, licensing registries, and consumer-protection records makes this a partial picture.

The criticism, fairly stated: Trust in the trades has many public signals — HomeStars and TrustedPros reviews, BBB accreditation and complaint history, ECRA/ESA and provincial licensing, WSIB coverage, small-claims and Consumer Protection Ontario actions. Using Google alone imports Google's specific weaknesses (fake-review susceptibility, no licensing awareness) and omits the records that most directly indicate whether a contractor has actually harmed customers.

Our answer: True today. This edition's review signal is Google-based, and licensing/insurance fields were too sparse for us to publish (see Q9). We think Google is a reasonable single anchor for a v1 — it's the most complete and most consulted public source — but a single source is a real limitation, not a strength. Disclosure and roadmap we are adding: we name Google as the sole review source in the score for 2026, and commit to integrating licensing-registry and complaint-record signals in the next edition, which is precisely the layer that would move the score from "evidence of reviews" toward "evidence of accountability." Until then, read this as a review-and-verification index, not a compliance-and-litigation index.

Q5. ProScore sells trust scoring. Isn't a report concluding "you need trust scoring" just an ad for your own product?

The criticism, fairly stated: The publisher scores the exact market it monetizes. A report whose central message is "the free signal everyone uses is broken, and the thing we sell is the fix" has an obvious incentive to make the market look as untrustworthy as possible. Lowering the "Trusted" threshold, weighting toward a metric that produces alarming scarcity, and headlining "checking reviews won't protect you" all point the same commercially convenient direction.

Our answer: The conflict is real and we won't wave it away. We can't prove our own good faith by assertion, so instead we've tried to make the analysis falsifiable and reproducible by outsiders: fixed, stated denominators; a documented snapshot date; raw counts alongside every percentage; and (per Q1) a forthcoming weights-and-threshold appendix so a critic can recompute our headline under different assumptions. Two structural points partly blunt the incentive claim: we score every contractor whether or not they engage with us, and we don't sell placement or rank — so the report doesn't advantage any paying customer. But the deepest mitigation is the threshold-sensitivity disclosure: if our "only 18% are Trusted" figure only looks alarming because of where we drew the line, an open sensitivity table lets you catch us doing it. We would rather you check that than take our independence on trust.

Q6. Your city ranking splits the City of Toronto into pieces. Doesn't that break the "Toronto ranks below its suburbs" story?

The criticism, fairly stated: East York, North York, Scarborough, Etobicoke, and "York" are not suburbs of Toronto — they are Toronto, amalgamated into the single City of Toronto in 1998. The ranking treats them as separate cities (East York 3rd, "Toronto" 44th, North York 38th, Scarborough 27th, Etobicoke 25th) based on Google's neighborhood labels. So the flagship "big-city surprise" is substantially an artifact of splitting one city by postal-area labels: the "Toronto" row is really just the downtown/old-Toronto core, and one of its own districts (East York) ranks 3rd province-wide. The same problem applies to Ottawa, whose Nepean, Kanata, Orléans, and Gloucester districts are listed separately.

Our answer: This is the most important factual correction and we accept it. The city field reflects the locality label on each business's public listing, not municipal boundaries, so amalgamated Toronto and Ottawa are each spread across several rows. The "Toronto 44th" figure is the old-Toronto core, not the City of Toronto as a whole; aggregating all Toronto districts would produce a different, higher composite and would undercut the "below its suburbs" framing. Corrections we are making: (1) a clear note that "Toronto," "North York," "Scarborough," "Etobicoke," "East York," and "York" are districts of one municipality, likewise the Ottawa districts; (2) a supplementary ranking computed on true amalgamated-municipality boundaries; and (3) softening the "big-city surprise" claim to what the data actually supports — variation within the GTA and between listing-labeled areas — rather than a clean city-beats-suburb story. The genuinely robust point survives: trust varies widely across Ontario geography and is not concentrated in the largest urban labels.

Q7. Some ranked "cities" have barely 50 contractors. How can you rank Innisfil "least trustworthy" off 55 businesses, to one decimal place?

The criticism, fairly stated: The 50-contractor floor still lets tiny samples (Innisfil 55, Midland 51, Aurora 56, Simcoe 56) sit on a ranked ladder against markets ten to twenty times larger, reported to a tenth of a point. With samples that small the confidence interval on an average trust score easily spans several rank positions, so most of the ordering — especially "1st," "64th," and adjacent ties — is noise dressed as precision.

Our answer: Fair, and partly self-inflicted by presenting a strict 1–64 ordering. A 50–90 contractor sample supports a band ("upper third / middle / lower third"), not a precise rank, and certainly not decimal-point separation between neighbors. Disclosure we are adding: confidence intervals (or standard errors) on every city average, a caution that cities within roughly a few points of each other are statistically indistinguishable, and a shift in how we present the extremes — "among the lowest-scoring markets" rather than a definitive "least trustworthy city in Ontario." The superlatives on the smallest samples are the least defensible sentences in the report and we are dialing them back.

Q8. You order cities by fractions of a point. Aren't most of these differences meaningless?

The criticism, fairly stated: Ranks 3 through 20 span roughly 57.0 down to 54.0 — three points across eighteen positions, often decimals apart. Treating a 0.1–0.5 point gap as a rank difference implies a precision the data doesn't have, and invites readers to over-read "my city beat yours."

Our answer: Agreed. The rank ladder is more precise-looking than the underlying data warrants. The honest reading is tiers, not ranks: there is a real, several-point spread between the top tier and the bottom tier, but adjacent positions inside a tier are effectively ties. Disclosure we are adding: we will group cities into a small number of statistically-separated tiers as the primary presentation and demote the exact 1–64 ordering to a reference appendix with the precision caveat attached. The defensible claim is the spread between top and bottom; the indefensible one is any specific adjacent-rank bragging right.

Q9. Why not report licensing and insurance — the things that most directly define a "trustworthy" contractor?

The criticism, fairly stated: For a trust index, the omission of the two most concrete trust signals — is this contractor licensed for the trade, and are they insured — is conspicuous. It leaves the score resting on softer proxies.

Our answer: We agree these are the strongest signals, and we deliberately excluded them because our current coverage of those fields is too sparse to support an honest percentage. Publishing a "licensing rate" off a fraction of records would manufacture a misleading denominator, which we refuse to do. This is the one place where the report is conservative rather than aggressive, and we'd rather take the criticism of omission than the criticism of fabrication. Closing this gap (via provincial registries) is the single biggest planned upgrade for the next edition — see Q4.

Q10. Bathroom remodeling scores 0.0% Trusted on healthy 4.0–4.3 star averages. Isn't that a scoring artifact?

The criticism, fairly stated: An entire trade returning zero contractors above the line is a classic signature of a threshold/weighting artifact rather than a real-world fact. Remodeling is project-based and episodic: customers remodel a kitchen once a decade, so even excellent firms accumulate reviews slowly compared to a plumber doing hundreds of small jobs a year. If the score is volume-weighted, it will structurally punish low-frequency trades regardless of quality — which means "0% of bathroom remodelers are trustworthy" may be measuring review cadence, not trustworthiness.

Our answer: This is a strong and largely correct critique, and it's the finding we'd most caution readers about. A literal 0.0% is exactly the kind of clean-zero result that should trigger suspicion of a mechanism, and part of the effect is almost certainly structural: remodeling generates fewer, lumpier reviews per firm than high-frequency service trades, so a volume-weighted score will disadvantage it even where quality is high. Disclosures and fixes we are adding: (1) a plain statement that the remodeling result is confounded with review frequency inherent to project-based work, and should not be read as "no trustworthy remodelers exist"; (2) trade-normalized scoring in the next edition, so contractors are compared within a trade's natural review cadence; and (3) removal of the absolute "0%" as a headline superlative in favor of "remodeling trades score lowest on our current volume-weighted model, in part because of how their work generates reviews." The residual, defensible point is narrower but still useful: on exactly the biggest-ticket jobs, a star average is backed by the thinnest public evidence — so independent verification matters most there. That's a statement about evidence density, which the data does support.

Q11. Drywall shows 51% Trusted while half of drywall contractors have fewer than five reviews. If volume drives the score, how can both be true?

The criticism, fairly stated: The report says review volume is weighted heavily, yet drywall simultaneously has the highest "% Trusted" (51.1%) and one of the highest "% with <5 reviews" (50.2%), on a small sample (311). Those two facts sit awkwardly together and suggest either a small-sample quirk or that the weighting doesn't behave as described.

Our answer: A fair catch, and worth explaining rather than glossing. Two things are happening: drywall is one of our smaller trade samples, so its rates are noisier; and the score isn't volume alone — verification and consistency can lift a contractor with a short but clean, consistent record above the line even with modest review counts. Still, the juxtaposition shows our current model can send mixed signals, and it reinforces why the weights need to be public (Q1) so readers can see exactly how a thin-but-consistent record is treated. Disclosure we are adding: we'll flag drywall's smaller sample and use this specific pair of numbers as the worked example in the published-weights appendix.

Q12. The score is a snapshot from one day. How stale is this?

The criticism, fairly stated: Everything reflects a single capture on/before August 5, 2026. Reviews lag real performance, businesses change hands, and a one-day snapshot can't distinguish a firm on the way up from one on the way down. Annual publication means figures are stale for much of the year.

Our answer: Correct on all counts, and inherent to any point-in-time index. We disclose the vintage prominently precisely so no one over-reads month-to-month precision into it. Two honest caveats we're stating more clearly: individual contractors can move between our bands as their public record updates, so the Index is a snapshot for research and comparison, not a live verdict on any single business; and review lag means the score trails real-world changes by however long it takes customers to post. The population-level findings (distribution shape, trade and geographic spread) are far more stable across a snapshot than any individual score, and those are what we intend the report to be cited for.

Q13. Has the score been validated against real outcomes — complaints, judgments, licensing actions?

The criticism, fairly stated: A model is only a trust measure if a low score actually predicts bad outcomes. Without a validation study against ground truth — consumer-protection complaints, small-claims judgments, licensing revocations — the score is an internally-consistent index that has never been shown to track the thing it's named after.

Our answer: This is the most important thing we can't yet claim, and we won't pretend otherwise. For 2026 the score is a construct-based estimate built from signals that plausibly relate to accountability; it has not been back-tested against an external ground-truth outcome set. That is a genuine limitation of a first edition. What we're committing to: a validation study in a future edition that tests whether lower ProScore bands are associated with higher rates of documented complaints or adverse licensing actions, published whether or not the result flatters the model. Until that exists, the accurate framing — which we'll state in the methodology — is that ProScore measures the strength and consistency of a contractor's public accountability record, and is a tool for comparison, not a guarantee or a verdict on any individual business.

Q14. Isn't calling this "trust" stronger language than a review-and-verification proxy can carry?

The criticism, fairly stated: The word "trust" and the alarmist framing imply a measurement of whether a contractor will do right by you. What's actually measured is the density and consistency of a public paper trail. The gap between the label and the substance is where a skeptic — or a competitor — will attack hardest.

Our answer: Fair, and it's the throughline behind several answers above. We're tightening the language so the claim matches the substance: ProScore measures verifiable evidence of accountability, weighted toward review track record and verification. It is a strong, comparative proxy for trust — not a character judgment, not a workmanship rating, and not a prediction about your specific job. The headline advice we stand behind without hedging is the modest one: a star rating is a starting point, not a decision; look past the average to the volume, recency, and independent verification behind it — most of all on the biggest jobs. That's a claim the data genuinely supports, and it's the one we want cited.

Have a figure you want to pressure-test, a specific city or trade cut, or a boundary correction? We'll provide the underlying counts. The fastest way to falsify anything in this report is with the data behind it, and we'd rather you try than take our word for it.

For media and researchers

Cite it, cut it, or pressure-test it

ProScore makes the data behind this Index available to journalists and researchers, including city- and trade-level breakdowns beyond those published here. All figures may be cited freely with attribution to ProScore (proscore.ca).

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For the underlying methodology, a specific city or trade cut, confidence intervals, or comment, contact the ProScore team.

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Cite this report

ProScore. (2026). The ProScore Ontario Contractor Trust Index 2026. Data as of August 5, 2026.

proscore.ca/research/ontario-contractor-trust-index-2026 — figures may be cited freely with attribution to ProScore.

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About ProScore

An independent trust-scoring platform

ProScore is an independent trust-scoring platform for Ontario home-service contractors. We are not a directory and we do not sell leads or accept payment for placement. We score every contractor in our coverage area on the same 0–100 scale using public, verifiable signals, so homeowners can compare businesses on accountability rather than on a single averaged star. This Index is drawn entirely from our own scored dataset and is intended as a recurring annual benchmark.

Appendix

Full 64-city ranking

Every ranked municipality with at least 50 scored contractors, ordered by average trust score. Data as of August 5, 2026. Read as tiers rather than exact ranks: cities within a few points of each other are statistically indistinguishable (see Q7–Q8).

Complete ProScore city ranking — 64 Ontario municipalities with n ≥ 50 scored contractors.
Rank City Contractors Avg trust % Trusted % with <5 reviews
1Burlington23157.827.7%19.0%
2Milton8057.122.5%25.0%
3East York8457.033.3%32.1%
4Hamilton31856.625.2%27.7%
5Woodbridge7556.524.0%28.0%
6Pickering9356.422.6%25.8%
7Whitby12056.026.7%23.3%
8Vaughan11555.721.7%20.0%
8Windsor24555.724.1%22.9%
10London47055.522.8%29.8%
11Stoney Creek6255.222.6%33.9%
12Cambridge28254.823.4%31.6%
13Brampton39154.521.5%22.5%
14Guelph16554.417.0%34.5%
14Newmarket14154.419.9%29.1%
16Brantford21054.316.7%33.8%
16Oakville24954.324.1%18.5%
18Ajax12154.119.8%25.6%
18Kitchener33754.121.7%35.9%
18Markham19354.118.7%22.3%
21Concord11454.017.5%23.7%
22Oshawa20953.622.0%23.4%
22Waterloo16853.617.9%31.5%
24Aurora5653.526.8%26.8%
25Etobicoke51253.220.3%35.9%
26Chatham8553.118.8%34.1%
27Mississauga88152.418.2%30.5%
27Scarborough41152.419.5%38.7%
29Richmond Hill25552.218.8%20.4%
30Owen Sound7052.015.7%42.9%
31Ottawa66151.316.9%36.2%
31Orléans7551.313.3%34.7%
33Orangeville7851.116.7%48.7%
34Nepean14651.015.1%34.2%
35Kanata7450.913.5%39.2%
36North Bay9250.818.5%43.5%
37Stratford8750.711.5%55.2%
38Woodstock11650.613.8%47.4%
38Peterborough17450.620.1%35.6%
38North York73650.616.3%39.8%
41Greater Sudbury14350.514.0%51.0%
42Simcoe5650.414.3%46.4%
43Bracebridge8450.214.3%44.0%
44Gloucester6849.914.7%50.0%
44Toronto1,04149.917.4%38.4%
46Welland9549.411.6%33.7%
46Kingston15649.416.7%28.2%
48Sarnia12348.912.2%43.9%
48York17048.917.6%48.2%
50Niagara Falls13048.811.5%35.4%
51Sault Ste. Marie15248.614.5%49.3%
51Huntsville7948.611.4%49.4%
53Timmins8648.314.0%51.2%
54Orillia7948.27.6%49.4%
55Belleville10047.912.0%51.0%
55Midland5147.911.8%47.1%
57St. Catharines22547.79.8%51.1%
58Pembroke6546.76.2%47.7%
59Thunder Bay19645.97.1%56.6%
60Barrie34545.012.8%47.2%
61Collingwood9344.716.1%57.0%
62Brockville7443.68.1%39.2%
63Cornwall7642.514.5%59.2%
64Innisfil5541.75.5%65.5%

The ProScore Ontario Contractor Trust Index 2026. Published by ProScore, an independent trust-scoring platform. Published August 12, 2026; data as of August 5, 2026.

All figures reflect ProScore's scored dataset of 16,412 active Ontario home-service contractors across 11 trades and 878 municipalities, and may be cited freely with attribution to ProScore (proscore.ca). Trust scores are a model-based estimate of accountability, not a verdict on any individual contractor. City rankings cover only the 64 municipalities with 50-plus scored contractors. ProScore deliberately does not report province-wide licensing or insurance rates because those fields are too sparsely populated to state honestly.

© 2026 ProScore · proscore.ca · Canonical report